Short Note on the CDC and Modeling, Flu Seasons 2017-2018 and 2018-2019

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From reports at the time:  Jun 20, 2019 · In total, the CDC estimates that up to 42.9 million people got sick during the 2018-2019 flu season, 647,000 people were hospitalized and 61,200 died. That’s fairly...

The Intellectual Yet Idiot, by Nassim Nicolas Taleb

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(I have never published other men's works here, but I want to introduce a singular mind to my readers, for he is a genuine scholar, yet shares the views I've written about for many years, albeit...

Science versus God. Who will win?

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Has anyone been able to explain "how" the ancient Egyptians built the Pyramids when most of the engineering skills they would have been required would not be discovered for millennia? Even the mathematics that would...

Social Distancing, “If I was any Closer to You, I’d be Behind You” (Updated)

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(I updated this on 4/03 after I found some notes on corporate production tatistical modeling from a Fortune 500 company in the 1980s. Instructive, perhaps at least for government agency decision makers.) In Virginia it's...

Wyatt Earp’s Justifications for Killing off the Cowboys

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"For my handling of the situation at Tombstone, I have no regrets. Were it to be done over again, I would do exactly as I did at that time. If the outlaws and their friends and allies imagined that they could intimidate or exterminate...