When you get your butt kicked all sorts of lessons from history come to mind. But when that butt-kicking is self-inflicted the analogies narrow The lessons most learned from the Republicans’ self-immolation in the failure of their Obamacare repeal (sic)…
Short Note on the CDC and Modeling, Flu Seasons 2017-2018 and 2018-2019
From reports at the time: Jun 20, 2019 · In total, the CDC estimates that up to 42.9 million people got sick during the 2018-2019 flu season, 647,000 people were hospitalized and 61,200 died. That’s fairly on par with a typical…
Social Distancing, “If I was any Closer to You, I’d be Behind You” (Updated)
(I updated this on 4/03 after I found some notes on corporate production tatistical modeling from a Fortune 500 company in the 1980s. Instructive, perhaps at least for government agency decision makers.) In Virginia it’s not even been two weeks…



