THIS AIN’T ROCKET SCIENCE or EVEN COVID MATH
It comes down to this:
As of 7 AM the morning after the election, Seven states remain in play:
% Votes Counted STATE Votes Counted Remaining Votes BIDEN TOTALS TRUMP TOTALS ———–EV % – Votes % -Votes
80.7 % 16 MICHIGAN 4.7m 1.12m 48.6% 2.29m 49.8% 2.34m
75.3 % 20 PENNSYLV 5.3m 1.7m 43.1% 2.28m 55.8% 2.96
100% 15 NORTH CAR 5.5m 0 48.7% 2.68m 50.1% 2.8m
99.4% 16 GEORGIA 4.7m 28,000 48.3% 2.27m 50.48% 2.37m
50.45 3 ALASKA 172,000 87,000 33. % 56.7K 62.9% 100.1K
99.2 10 WISCONSIN 3.3m 30K 49.6% 1.64m 48.9% 1.614m
74.7 6 NEVADA 1.2m 300K 49.2% 590.4K 48.6% 583K
Easy to see who has the steeper grade to climb:
Biden needs to get (steal) 16 of the electoral votes right now leaning to Trump.
Pennsylvania would be the best snatch-and-grab, but Trump seems to have been one-step ahead with his anti-corruption SWAT team, and although there are 1.7m outstanding, Biden has to make up a 750K deficiency. An in broad daylight, with eyes everywhere.
Michigan and North Carolina would give Biden the winning margin too, only North Carolina has no more votes to wait for (they say) and Biden is short 120K votes.
Michigan is doable, but that only puts him up to 254, 16 shy of a victory, 15 shy of a tie.
And Nevada, with only 75% of the vote counted is still in play with 300K votes still outstanding and only a 7000 vote lead for Biden.
It seems we’ll hold the Senate with a net loss of one.
And like Trump’s prospects in the presidential race, it looks our side will take back the House with at worse, a 218-to-217 advantage. Maybe more.
So, Advantage Trump and America, and I don’t foresee any unforced errors in the coming days, when his experts clash with their experts. The media, by now very wobbly, will play their cards to the end, but in the final analysis they will wilt, just one club short of a flush.
While pretty effective in tearing up cities under the obliging eyes of Democrat mayors and governors, and a long history of wholesale smash and grab of jewelry stores at street level, I don’t think they are very apt second story burglars, much less penthouse jewel thieves that can get past Donald Trump’s expert security systems.
He’s always managed to be one step ahead.
